While pandemic policy responses such as movement restrictions and closures of non-essential services aimed to control SARS-COV-2 infection rates, their variable health and economic impact across socio-economic groups, economic sectors and countries was seldom measured. This project aims to protect and enhance national and regional health, wellbeing and resilience by providing epidemiological-economic modelling frameworks to support decision-making across the health, economic and social dimensions.
Flexible models of hypothetical infectious disease ("Disease X") will be developed to run scenario-based prospective simulations: each will explore different outbreak dynamics, transmission pathways and possible mitigation strategies. Linking macroeconomic models with epidemiological models will provide a holistic analytical framework enabling each country team to test the effects of epidemiological interventions and policies on the economy.
Additionally, the Consortium will address the skills gap on the continent, training a new generation of African researchers to conduct this analysis. Ultimately, this research will ensure that future policy responses to pandemics in Africa are more holistic, equitably considering both health and economic resilience, saving both lives and livelihoods and enhancing preparedness at the national and regional levels.